#NRL #SportsBetting #StateofOrigin

I had a good start to the weekend with 2 wins but ended with 2 losses cancelling out the previous bets.  And now we hit the Origin period where I will be conducting a bit of an experiment.  So follow these bets at your peril, I personally won’t be placing down any real coin and won’t count them as part of my record.

Basically I will be generating my numbers with my normal formulas and coming up with a line.  If I get an edge in value I would normally take the bet.  But not this time!  Origin period games screwed me last season (and ones before that, that I have not released publically).  So instead of taking that bet, I will go with the opposite team that I would normally bet on.

 

RESULTS SO FAR:

NRL Betting Week 11 results

 

 

Season Total Early Bet Results (Odds with Bet365)

20-14 +4.2 Units   58.8% Strikerate  12.4% ROI

 

Season Total Gameday Bet Results (Odds with Pinnacle)

17-13 +3.86 Units  56.7% Strikerate  12.9% ROI

 

Season Total Combined Betting Results

37-27 +8.06 Units   57.8% Strikerate  12.6% ROI

 

 

 

Week 12 Early Bets (Odds with Bet365) Origin Experiment would normally take the other team’s line

Penrith Panthers – Manly Sea Eagles  Sea Eagles-1.5  $1.95

Parramatta Eels – South Sydney Rabbitohs  Eels-3.5  $1.87

Canterbury Bulldogs – Canberra Raiders  Raiders-1.5  $1.91

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