#NRL #SportsBetting #StateofOrigin
I had a good start to the weekend with 2 wins but ended with 2 losses cancelling out the previous bets. And now we hit the Origin period where I will be conducting a bit of an experiment. So follow these bets at your peril, I personally won’t be placing down any real coin and won’t count them as part of my record.
Basically I will be generating my numbers with my normal formulas and coming up with a line. If I get an edge in value I would normally take the bet. But not this time! Origin period games screwed me last season (and ones before that, that I have not released publically). So instead of taking that bet, I will go with the opposite team that I would normally bet on.
RESULTS SO FAR:
Season Total Early Bet Results (Odds with Bet365)
20-14 +4.2 Units 58.8% Strikerate 12.4% ROI
Season Total Gameday Bet Results (Odds with Pinnacle)
17-13 +3.86 Units 56.7% Strikerate 12.9% ROI
Season Total Combined Betting Results
37-27 +8.06 Units 57.8% Strikerate 12.6% ROI
Week 12 Early Bets (Odds with Bet365) Origin Experiment would normally take the other team’s line
Penrith Panthers – Manly Sea Eagles Sea Eagles-1.5 $1.95
Parramatta Eels – South Sydney Rabbitohs Eels-3.5 $1.87
Canterbury Bulldogs – Canberra Raiders Raiders-1.5 $1.91